Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1119 Delta Flight history →	SAV 11:23	DTW 13:32	12%	4%	0.7%	90%
OO 3711 SkyWest	SAV 18:00	DTW 20:11	21%	7%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	1h 14m Houston	IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa	6h 42m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 08:23 → DTW 10:19DL 643	4h 40m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 13m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 14:00 → DTW 15:55DL 1031	5h 52m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor	1h 15m New York	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	5h 24m	92%	80%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	2h 54m Charlotte	CLT 11:19 → DTW 13:06AA 1683	6h 06m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 54m New York	JFK 12:56 → DTW 14:46DL 1654	6h 56m	97%	79%
United Details →	SAV 19:15 → IAD 21:02UA 6165 · flown by Mesa	1h 25m Dulles	IAD 22:27 → DTW 00:15 +1UA 2846	5h 00m	92%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014	52m Atlanta	ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262	4h 06m	75%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON