Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AA 3228 at 06:01, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 3228 American	SAV 06:01	MIA 07:41	13%	7%	1.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → MIA 10:57DL 1510	5h 18m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MIA 13:07DL 1332	6h 24m	99%	71%
United Details →	SAV 06:05 → EWR 08:17UA 2828	56m Newark	EWR 09:13 → MIA 12:30UA 2785	6h 25m	93%	69%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 21:37 → MIA 23:39DL 1234	6h 34m	96%	66%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:34 → BOS 13:14DL 5596 · flown by Republic	2h 01m Boston	BOS 15:15 → MIA 18:58DL 776	8h 24m	98%	65%
Delta Details →	SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589	5h 48m	92%	65%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	2h 37m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → MIA 13:11AA 969	6h 11m	97%	64%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor	3h 05m New York	LGA 11:15 → MIA 14:24DL 1538	8h 24m	97%	62%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SAV 15:03 → DFW 16:53AA 2048	59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:52 → MIA 22:02AA 2050	6h 59m	72%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON