Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:16, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:16	MSP 19:15	20%	6%	0.7%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 39m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 47m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 08:04 → ATL 09:12DL 686	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 46m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:18 → LGA 08:25DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor	2h 45m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 52m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:18 → JFK 09:26DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 09m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	7h 32m	97%	80%
American Details →	SAV 07:45 → PHL 09:50AA 5570 · flown by PSA	3h 09m Philadelphia	PHL 12:59 → MSP 14:57AA 3294	8h 12m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:34 → BOS 13:14DL 5596 · flown by Republic	1h 38m Boston	BOS 14:52 → MSP 17:05DL 1127	7h 31m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 03m	100%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON