Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 23 nonstops
Sun, Oct 11: WN 4979 at 06:50 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 34–57%.
Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| WN 4979 Southwest | FLL 06:50 | MDW 09:07 | 5% | 2% | 0.7% | no record |
| UA 2809 United | FLL 06:53 | ORD 09:20 | 10% | 4% | 0.8% | no record |
| AA 581 American Flight history → | MIA 06:40 | ORD 09:08 | 10% | 5% | 0.8% | 87% |
| AA 2738 American | FLL 08:42 | ORD 11:03 | 16% | 6% | 1.0% | no record |
| AA 3076 American | MIA 08:22 | ORD 10:49 | 18% | 7% | 1.1% | no record |
| WN 1927 Southwest | FLL 11:05 | MDW 13:21 | 28% | 8% | 1.9% | no record |
| AA 2634 American Flight history → | MIA 22:12 | ORD 00:36 | 34% | 16% | 1.8% | 70% |
| UA 1983 United Flight history → | MIA 12:30 | ORD 15:13 | 36% | 18% | 2.8% | 82%worse than usual |
| UA 651 United Flight history → | FLL 19:37 | ORD 22:20 | 36% | 20% | 1.1% | 66% |
| UA 1755 United Flight history → | FLL 12:26 | ORD 14:55 | 37% | 17% | 1.4% | 87%worse than usual |
| AA 483 American Flight history → | MIA 21:18 | ORD 23:31 | 41% | 18% | 1.6% | 79%worse than usual |
| AA 835 American | MIA 13:02 | ORD 15:27 | 41% | 21% | 3.1% | no record |
| AA 1443 American Flight history → | FLL 13:32 | ORD 15:58 | 42% | 19% | 2.9% | 89%worse than usual |
| WN 1928 Southwest | FLL 18:06 | MDW 20:23 | 45% | 14% | 3.0% | no record |
| UA 403 United Flight history → | FLL 16:20 | ORD 19:00 | 46% | 24% | 1.3% | 52% |
| B6 863 JetBlue Flight history → | FLL 21:05 | ORD 23:44 | 49% | 27% | 2.5% | 48% |
| B6 663 JetBlue Flight history → | FLL 11:00 | ORD 13:39 | 49% | 22% | 4.0% | 71%worse than usual |
| F9 2206 Frontier Flight history → | FLL 12:10 | ORD 14:40 | 49% | 22% | 3.6% | 69%worse than usual |
| WN 3714 Southwest | MIA 15:02 | MDW 17:06 | 50% | 13% | 3.9% | no record |
| UA 2106 United Flight history → | MIA 16:10 | ORD 18:53 | 51% | 27% | 2.5% | 59% |
| AA 2194 American Flight history → | MIA 18:52 | ORD 21:19 | 56% | 29% | 4.7% | 62%worse than usual |
| AA 3056 American Flight history → | MIA 17:00 | ORD 19:53 | 56% | 27% | 5.1% | 60%worse than usual |
| AA 3304 American Flight history → | MIA 17:02 | ORD 19:42 | 57% | 27% | 5.1% | 49% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON