Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 6014 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SFO 08:10	GEG 10:27	16%	5%	0.6%	88%
OO 5822 SkyWest	SFO 20:11	GEG 22:39	22%	11%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SFO 06:03 → SEA 08:13AS 620	1h 42m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	4h 57m	96%	86%
Alaska Details →	SFO 07:20 → PDX 09:02AS 1410	1h 28m Portland	PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250	4h 25m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	SFO 05:50 → SLC 08:40DL 1331	2h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 22m	98%	82%
Alaska Details →	SFO 06:57 → SNA 08:37AS 3440 · flown by SkyWest	2h 48m Santa Ana	SNA 11:25 → GEG 13:59AS 2020 · flown by Horizon	7h 02m	99%	81%
Alaska Details →	SFO 12:08 → PDX 13:50AS 235	3h 40m Portland	PDX 17:30 → GEG 18:44AS 452	6h 36m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	SFO 09:20 → LAX 10:53DL 1421	2h 07m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	6h 15m	96%	80%
United Details →	SFO 05:00 → DEN 08:35UA 1479	2h 40m Denver	DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295	7h 37m	98%	80%
American Details →	SFO 05:50 → PHX 08:01AA 6404 · flown by SkyWest	2h 21m Phoenix	PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:22AA 540	7h 32m	99%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	SFO 11:02 → SEA 13:05AS 580	1h 17m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	4h 23m	74%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON