Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, OO 5214 at 10:29, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


OO 5214 SkyWest	SFO 10:29	PSC 12:37	27%	12%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SFO 05:50 → SLC 08:40DL 1331	3h 44m Salt Lake City	SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	7h 19m	98%	85%
Alaska Details →	SFO 17:38 → SEA 19:40AS 1340	3h 04m Seattle	SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon	6h 05m	98%	84%
Alaska Details →	SFO 11:02 → SEA 13:05AS 580	3h 23m Seattle	SEA 16:28 → PSC 17:27AS 2367 · flown by Horizon	6h 25m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	SFO 09:55 → SLC 12:44DL 920	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	6h 43m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	SFO 05:55 → SEA 08:05DL 2721	2h 30m Seattle	SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	5h 48m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	SFO 17:29 → SEA 19:44DL 3707 · flown by SkyWest	3h 01m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 24m	98%	73%
Delta Details →	SFO 17:07 → SLC 20:00DL 1088	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	6h 47m	97%	72%
Alaska Details →	SFO 06:03 → SEA 08:13AS 620	3h 07m Seattle	SEA 11:20 → PSC 12:19AS 2306 · flown by Horizon	6h 16m	100%	57%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SFO 14:20 → DEN 18:11UA 1596	59m Denver	DEN 19:10 → PSC 20:40UA 1737	6h 20m	53%	28%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON