Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4901 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SHV 06:55	CLT 10:13	19%	5%	1.6%	79%
OH 5303 PSA	SHV 10:55	CLT 14:18	20%	7%	1.1%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Shreveport). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SHV 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 3504 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190	4h 26m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	SHV 07:46 → ATL 10:38DL 4117 · flown by SkyWest	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	4h 45m	88%	74%
Delta Details →	SHV 10:28 → ATL 13:21DL 5302 · flown by Endeavor	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031	4h 49m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	SHV 17:16 → ATL 20:13DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	5h 42m	93%	73%
American Details →	SHV 06:00 → DFW 07:14AA 6419 · flown by SkyWest	1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:22 → CLT 11:57AA 2168	4h 57m	89%	71%
Delta Details →	SHV 12:59 → ATL 15:55DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → CLT 20:11DL 2132	6h 12m	98%	71%
American Details →	SHV 09:55 → DFW 11:09AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	3h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:33 → CLT 18:14AA 3227	7h 19m	100%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SHV 09:55 → DFW 11:09AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	4h 41m	73%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON