tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 2602 at 17:44, with a 32% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2602 JetBlue Flight history → SJU 17:44 HPN 21:41 32% 12% 1.0% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SJU 07:30 → ATL 11:14DL 1763 56m Atlanta ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:36DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor 7h 06m 93% 75%
DeltaDetails → SJU 12:58 → ATL 16:59DL 1930 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616 9h 27m 100% 74%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 04:57 → MCO 08:09B6 234 3h 33m Orlando MCO 11:42 → HPN 14:31B6 194 9h 34m 99% 71%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 14:05 → FLL 16:47B6 1454 3h 08m Fort Lauderdale FLL 19:55 → HPN 22:59B6 914 8h 54m 95% 66%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 14:45 → MCO 17:58B6 934 2h 18m Orlando MCO 20:16 → HPN 23:10B6 1694 8h 25m 95% 60%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 12:56 → JFK 17:11B6 1004 3h 23m New York JFK 20:34 → HPN 21:24B6 368 8h 28m 93% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON