tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 27% 9% 1.1% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:28DL 696 2h 51m Boston BOS 09:19 → CLE 11:31DL 5674 · flown by Republic 9h 27m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 8h 45m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 45m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 3h 19m Minneapolis MSP 20:51 → CLE 23:44DL 1392 7h 44m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 3h 08m San Francisco SFO 10:27 → CLE 18:05UA 2603 10h 00m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 18:53 → CLE 20:42DL 2150 8h 47m 99% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SLC 11:17 → SEA 12:30AS 796 47m Seattle SEA 13:17 → CLE 20:40AS 263 7h 23m 40% 29%
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:47 → ORD 16:57UA 1382 56m Chicago ORD 17:53 → CLE 20:21UA 2652 5h 34m 53% 24%
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:15 → ORD 20:32UA 1963 48m Chicago ORD 21:20 → CLE 23:49UA 457 5h 34m 0% 0%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON