Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2228 at 17:50, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2228 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:50	IND 22:59	31%	9%	1.3%	84%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 08:04 → IND 09:43DL 3125	6h 56m	100%	93%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Denver	DEN 09:58 → IND 14:35UA 1522	7h 20m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	1h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 12:55 → IND 15:33DL 2910	5h 33m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → IND 00:41 +1DL 2657	9h 06m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 15:58 → IND 17:36DL 2979	8h 36m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → IND 19:03DL 3120	8h 53m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:45 → AUS 11:25DL 2671	2h 38m Austin	AUS 14:03 → IND 17:47DL 4027 · flown by SkyWest	8h 02m	96%	77%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687	6h 40m	89%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	47m Phoenix	PHX 08:44 → IND 15:13AA 2954	6h 00m	71%	55%
United Details →	SLC 12:47 → ORD 16:57UA 1382	1h 11m Chicago	ORD 18:08 → IND 20:27UA 3628 · flown by Republic	5h 40m	68%	42%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	46m Minneapolis	MSP 21:40 → IND 00:16 +1DL 674	4h 55m	44%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON