Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 4052 at 13:17, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4052 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:17	LIT 17:17	15%	6%	0.8%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 08:10 → LIT 08:42DL 3033	6h 55m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027	7h 12m	97%	82%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:36 → LIT 13:00AA 3898 · flown by Envoy	7h 00m	99%	81%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Denver	DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:54UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest	6h 39m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 23:05 → LIT 23:41DL 2083	9h 06m	98%	76%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 13:20 → LIT 16:42UA 5760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 17:52 → LIT 18:30DL 2061	9h 20m	100%	74%
American Details →	SLC 13:48 → PHX 14:34AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	1h 16m Phoenix	PHX 15:50 → LIT 20:47AA 4329 · flown by Envoy	5h 59m	100%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 16:15 → ORD 20:32UA 1963	58m Chicago	ORD 21:30 → LIT 23:25UA 4542 · flown by GoJet	6h 10m	29%	15%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON