Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 34% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2619 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:45	MKE 21:43	34%	13%	1.2%	80%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 08:04 → MKE 09:05DL 2999	7h 18m	100%	92%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Denver	DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836	7h 10m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	2h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006	6h 09m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 26m Atlanta	ATL 14:10 → MKE 15:09DL 2152	7h 09m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	9h 21m	98%	79%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	3h 23m Houston	IAH 14:20 → MKE 17:06UA 6164 · flown by Mesa	9h 21m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206	8h 30m	99%	77%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	1h 55m Phoenix	PHX 09:52 → MKE 15:19AA 1646	7h 06m	96%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON