tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2100 Delta Flight history → SLC 09:25 MSY 13:47 14% 3% 0.7% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 08:58 → MSY 09:29DL 1424 7h 42m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Denver DEN 09:50 → MSY 13:39UA 2273 7h 24m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:39 → IAD 15:42UA 1322 2h 29m Dulles IAD 18:11 → MSY 20:06UA 251 9h 27m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 1h 16m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 6h 25m 95% 78%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 15:02 → MSY 15:44DL 8858 7h 44m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → MSY 23:43DL 2224 9h 08m 98% 73%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 58m Houston IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385 5h 29m 89% 72%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Denver DEN 13:41 → MSY 17:25UA 250 7h 55m 99% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770 55m Atlanta ATL 07:35 → MSY 08:04DL 3128 6h 17m 66% 60%
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:52 → DFW 20:39AA 1456 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:33 → MSY 23:16AA 1455 5h 24m 54% 32%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON