tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 116 SkyWest SLC 14:02 OKC 17:29 18% 8% 0.9% no record
DL 3703 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:30 OKC 23:52 20% 8% 2.8% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:08 → OKC 10:14DL 2490 8h 27m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 6h 46m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa 8h 30m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 2h 53m San Diego SAN 15:01 → OKC 19:45DL 843 7h 35m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 30m Minneapolis MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest 8h 05m 99% 77%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 8h 22m 98% 75%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 06:01 → SEA 07:10AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest 1h 08m Seattle SEA 08:18 → OKC 13:57AS 405 6h 56m 95% 75%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:36 → OKC 11:49AA 3099 5h 49m 97% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest 46m Phoenix PHX 08:43 → OKC 13:03AA 6253 · flown by SkyWest 4h 50m 68% 57%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 1h 20m Denver DEN 17:31 → OKC 20:11UA 1184 4h 43m 74% 42%
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:52 → DFW 20:39AA 1456 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:29 → OKC 22:33AA 1458 4h 41m 50% 26%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON