tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:45, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 1188 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 PIT 16:30 13% 4% 0.7% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:47 → ATL 06:40DL 8770 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → PIT 10:45DL 1363 7h 58m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 8h 01m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351 9h 15m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 6h 50m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:50 → BOS 16:36DL 657 3h 54m Boston BOS 20:30 → PIT 22:33DL 5679 · flown by Republic 10h 43m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 16:56 → PIT 18:42DL 3122 8h 32m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:34 → PIT 14:19AA 2664 7h 19m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 19m Minneapolis MSP 19:51 → PIT 22:54DL 1134 6h 54m 95% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:47 → ORD 16:57UA 1382 1h 08m Chicago ORD 18:05 → PIT 20:51UA 1946 6h 04m 65% 34%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:29 → ORD 17:43AA 3258 1h 12m Chicago ORD 18:55 → PIT 21:31AA 1051 6h 02m 63% 27%
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:15 → ORD 20:32UA 1963 48m Chicago ORD 21:20 → PIT 23:59UA 3464 · flown by Republic 5h 44m 0% 0%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON