Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	PSP 11:41	8%	4%	0.7%	99%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 15:40	PSP 16:33	16%	5%	1.0%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	1h 07m San Francisco	SFO 08:26 → PSP 10:03UA 717	4h 58m	95%	83%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 30m Denver	DEN 11:12 → PSP 12:29UA 687	6h 29m	97%	74%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	1h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:40 → PSP 11:42AA 2548	7h 42m	98%	73%
Alaska Details →	SLC 06:01 → SEA 07:10AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	3h 16m Seattle	SEA 10:26 → PSP 13:08AS 457	8h 07m	99%	72%
United Details →	SLC 09:49 → SFO 11:13UA 5970 · flown by SkyWest	2h 22m San Francisco	SFO 13:35 → PSP 15:11UA 342	6h 22m	96%	71%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Phoenix	PHX 10:38 → PSP 11:55AA 1884	5h 42m	96%	70%
Alaska Details →	SLC 09:42 → SEA 10:46AS 719	3h 41m Seattle	SEA 14:27 → PSP 17:09AS 322	8h 27m	100%	68%
Alaska Details →	SLC 16:00 → SEA 17:16AS 734	3h 13m Seattle	SEA 20:29 → PSP 22:52AS 3285 · flown by SkyWest	7h 52m	99%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON