Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3727 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	RDM 11:35	9%	2%	0.7%	92%
DL 3756 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 23:07	RDM 23:58	10%	2%	1.0%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SLC 12:26 → PDX 13:31AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest	59m Portland	PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon	3h 54m	89%	84%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Phoenix	PHX 10:50 → RDM 13:25AA 3929 · flown by Envoy	7h 12m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 20m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	5h 55m	98%	80%
Alaska Details →	SLC 19:37 → PDX 20:41AS 3308 · flown by SkyWest	1h 14m Portland	PDX 21:55 → RDM 22:45AS 2057 · flown by Horizon	4h 08m	90%	78%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	95%	78%
Alaska Details →	SLC 18:44 → SEA 20:00AS 665	2h 53m Seattle	SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon	6h 15m	93%	78%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 33m Denver	DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082	6h 53m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:20 → SEA 14:35DL 2921	2h 50m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	6h 23m	98%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 18:54 → SFO 20:03UA 5457 · flown by SkyWest	1h 15m San Francisco	SFO 21:18 → RDM 22:59UA 1809	5h 05m	73%	48%
Delta Details →	SLC 15:15 → SEA 16:28DL 2817	57m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	4h 28m	61%	47%
Alaska Details →	SLC 09:42 → SEA 10:46AS 719	1h 10m Seattle	SEA 11:56 → RDM 13:08AS 2400 · flown by Horizon	4h 26m	74%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON