Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 2020 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SNA 11:25	GEG 13:59	17%	4%	0.0%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SNA 07:45 → SEA 10:41AS 1325	3h 41m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	7h 40m	100%	81%
Alaska Details →	SNA 18:09 → PDX 20:31AS 589	1h 19m Portland	PDX 21:50 → GEG 22:59AS 1356	4h 50m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	SNA 09:50 → SLC 12:46DL 1198	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 18m	95%	76%
Alaska Details →	SNA 10:57 → PDX 13:21AS 1405	1h 07m Portland	PDX 14:28 → GEG 15:43AS 743	4h 46m	89%	76%
Delta Details →	SNA 17:03 → SLC 19:58DL 1277	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 52m	99%	72%
Alaska Details →	SNA 14:45 → SEA 17:32AS 760	3h 58m Seattle	SEA 21:30 → GEG 22:36AS 2071 · flown by Horizon	7h 51m	100%	70%
Alaska Details →	SNA 08:59 → SEA 11:49AS 702	1h 46m Seattle	SEA 13:35 → GEG 14:44AS 355	5h 45m	93%	65%
American Details →	SNA 07:46 → PHX 09:16AA 628	1h 06m Phoenix	PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:22AA 540	5h 36m	80%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	SNA 07:45 → SEA 10:41AS 1325	1h 01m Seattle	SEA 11:42 → GEG 12:51AS 454	5h 06m	74%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON