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Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: American via Charlotte, leaving 05:15, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Savannah on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → STL 05:15 → CLT 08:09AA 1515 3h 01m Charlotte CLT 11:10 → SAV 12:35AA 5890 · flown by Piedmont 6h 20m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 2h 15m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → SAV 16:23DL 2574 6h 34m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 30m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → STL 11:10 → IAH 13:25UA 6213 · flown by Mesa 1h 30m Houston IAH 14:55 → SAV 18:22UA 6355 · flown by Mesa 6h 12m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 09:24 → ATL 12:02DL 1571 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 5h 50m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → STL 06:14 → PHL 09:34AA 1308 1h 29m Philadelphia PHL 11:03 → SAV 13:08AA 2793 5h 54m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:51 → ATL 13:25DL 1400 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112 6h 11m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → STL 16:55 → ATL 19:46DL 543 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 5h 58m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON