tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2325 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SUN 10:20 SEA 11:14 19% 0% 0.0% 81%
AS 2327 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SUN 19:43 SEA 20:35 53% 5% 5.0% 47%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Hailey). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SUN 07:20 → SLC 08:27DL 4037 · flown by SkyWest 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995 6h 29m 97% 72%
UnitedDetails → SUN 15:35 → LAX 17:11UA 6008 · flown by SkyWest 1h 55m Los Angeles LAX 19:06 → SEA 21:59UA 684 7h 24m 96% 62%
DeltaDetails → SUN 13:10 → SLC 14:21DL 4019 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871 6h 23m 97% 57%
UnitedDetails → SUN 14:38 → DEN 16:45UA 5268 · flown by SkyWest 2h 26m Denver DEN 19:11 → SEA 21:00UA 2767 7h 22m 88% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON