tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:21, is the safest bet: 77% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 513 United SYR 07:58 DEN 09:53 9% 3% 0.9% no record
UA 2651 United SYR 16:22 DEN 18:06 32% 7% 1.0% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:07 → CLT 08:17AA 1235 3h 39m Charlotte CLT 11:56 → DEN 13:36AA 1662 9h 29m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091 46m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 26m 86% 77%
JetBlueDetails → SYR 07:00 → BOS 08:06B6 374 1h 12m Boston BOS 09:18 → DEN 11:39B6 393 6h 39m 95% 76%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 1h 38m New York JFK 08:30 → DEN 10:58DL 532 7h 28m 93% 75%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont 2h 11m Philadelphia PHL 09:31 → DEN 11:29AA 1313 7h 29m 90% 75%
UnitedDetails → SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 40m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 7h 59m 93% 67%
AmericanDetails → SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533 2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:00 → DEN 13:05AA 1462 7h 49m 98% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON