Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2091 at 06:21, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2091 Delta Flight history →	SYR 06:21	DTW 07:54	7%	3%	0.7%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 56m	98%	84%
American Details →	SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont	1h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 08:20 → DTW 10:27AA 5876 · flown by Piedmont	4h 27m	87%	82%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	2h 11m New York	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	5h 24m	93%	80%
American Details →	SYR 06:07 → CLT 08:17AA 1235	3h 02m Charlotte	CLT 11:19 → DTW 13:06AA 1683	6h 59m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	7h 53m	99%	75%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 07:00 → BOS 08:06B6 374	49m Boston	BOS 08:55 → DTW 11:15B6 837	4h 15m	88%	74%
Delta Details →	SYR 11:21 → JFK 12:39DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor	3h 51m New York	JFK 16:30 → DTW 18:57DL 2443	7h 36m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651	7h 58m	99%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SYR 18:06 → LGA 19:26DL 5062 · flown by Endeavor	1h 04m New York	LGA 20:30 → DTW 22:51DL 1014	4h 45m	68%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON