Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 34–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 1739 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 18:42	FLL 22:02	34%	13%	1.7%	77%worse than usual
G4 535 Allegiant	SYR 11:28	FLL 14:38	36%	12%	1.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 09:09 → DTW 10:43DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	1h 47m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	6h 25m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 20m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:17 → LGA 07:32DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 23m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 37m	97%	73%
American Details →	SYR 06:07 → CLT 08:17AA 1235	2h 42m Charlotte	CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585	6h 54m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	SYR 11:22 → JFK 12:36DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor	2h 54m New York	JFK 15:30 → FLL 18:54DL 1419	7h 32m	97%	66%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	6h 20m	97%	64%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	1h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:39 → FLL 15:39AA 3220	8h 23m	97%	63%
Delta Details →	SYR 13:32 → DTW 15:06DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	50m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	5h 28m	88%	62%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON