Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2525 at 07:17, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2525 Delta	SYR 07:17	MSP 08:51	7%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	4h 33m	94%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 30m	96%	84%
American Details →	SYR 06:07 → CLT 08:17AA 1235	3h 00m Charlotte	CLT 11:17 → MSP 12:59AA 1671	7h 52m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 56m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	8h 10m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	6h 58m	97%	73%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	6h 45m	91%	70%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	2h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:06 → MSP 14:42AA 1668	8h 26m	98%	69%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280	6h 52m	95%	69%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	55m Philadelphia	PHL 12:59 → MSP 14:57AA 3294	5h 10m	66%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON