Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 54 nonstops
Sun, Oct 11: WN 2276 at 06:10 is the safest bet, 2% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 29–58%.
Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| WN 2276 Southwest | DCA 06:10 | MDW 07:18 | 2% | 1% | 0.9% | no record |
| WN 1067 Southwest | BWI 06:22 | MDW 07:34 | 4% | 1% | 0.7% | no record |
| YX 4596 Republic | BWI 06:03 | ORD 07:21 | 7% | 3% | 1.2% | no record |
| UA 1793 United Flight history → | DCA 06:30 | ORD 07:46 | 7% | 3% | 1.1% | 92% |
| WN 1071 Southwest | BWI 09:34 | MDW 10:47 | 9% | 2% | 0.9% | no record |
| UA 1252 United Flight history → | IAD 10:31 | ORD 11:53 | 9% | 7% | 0.7% | 92% |
| WN 381 Southwest | DCA 09:53 | MDW 11:00 | 10% | 3% | 1.2% | no record |
| UA 1775 United Flight history → | IAD 08:15 | ORD 09:36 | 10% | 5% | 0.7% | 84% |
| UA 2691 United | IAD 06:06 | ORD 07:08 | 11% | 4% | 0.7% | no record |
| AA 523 American Flight history → | DCA 06:27 | ORD 07:35 | 11% | 6% | 1.9% | 78% |
| UA 441 United Flight history → | DCA 07:38 | ORD 08:45 | 11% | 4% | 1.1% | 86% |
| UA 1061 United Flight history → | DCA 08:25 | ORD 09:44 | 12% | 5% | 1.1% | 93% |
| UA 2774 United Flight history → | DCA 09:30 | ORD 10:50 | 12% | 6% | 1.4% | 94% |
| AA 2633 American Flight history → | DCA 07:42 | ORD 08:50 | 16% | 6% | 1.4% | 87% |
| UA 1367 United | BWI 06:26 | ORD 07:33 | 16% | 4% | 0.6% | no record |
| WN 1505 Southwest | DCA 13:00 | MDW 14:08 | 17% | 5% | 1.4% | no record |
| UA 2749 United Flight history → | BWI 08:16 | ORD 09:30 | 17% | 6% | 0.7% | 86% |
| AA 522 American | DCA 08:40 | ORD 09:48 | 18% | 7% | 1.5% | no record |
| UA 351 United Flight history → | DCA 09:27 | ORD 10:34 | 18% | 7% | 1.1% | 88% |
| AA 2023 American Flight history → | DCA 10:17 | ORD 11:25 | 20% | 8% | 1.7% | 81% |
| AA 3762 American flown by Envoy Flight history → | BWI 11:25 | ORD 12:35 | 21% | 5% | 1.7% | 79% |
| AA 808 American Flight history → | DCA 11:28 | ORD 12:36 | 23% | 10% | 2.1% | 90%worse than usual |
| WN 473 Southwest | DCA 15:05 | MDW 16:13 | 25% | 10% | 7.5% | no record |
| UA 2803 United | DCA 12:00 | ORD 13:11 | 25% | 10% | 1.3% | no record |
| WN 716 Southwest | BWI 15:20 | MDW 16:33 | 26% | 6% | 5.2% | no record |
| UA 2331 United Flight history → | IAD 13:15 | ORD 14:29 | 26% | 13% | 1.2% | 81% |
| F9 4307 Frontier Flight history → | BWI 10:18 | ORD 11:32 | 27% | 8% | 2.4% | 67% |
| UA 249 United | BWI 12:06 | ORD 13:16 | 27% | 10% | 0.7% | no record |
| UA 421 United | IAD 22:31 | ORD 23:47 | 29% | 14% | 0.8% | no record |
| YX 4541 Republic | DCA 22:28 | ORD 23:37 | 29% | 14% | 3.7% | no record |
| WN 1508 Southwest | DCA 21:00 | MDW 22:09 | 31% | 10% | 3.1% | no record |
| UA 511 United Flight history → | DCA 13:00 | ORD 14:18 | 31% | 14% | 2.3% | 76% |
| UA 1888 United Flight history → | DCA 14:00 | ORD 15:18 | 31% | 15% | 2.2% | 71% |
| WN 1073 Southwest | BWI 22:31 | MDW 23:46 | 32% | 8% | 2.2% | no record |
| OO 5194 SkyWest | IAD 13:02 | ORD 14:06 | 34% | 16% | 1.9% | no record |
| WN 836 Southwest | DCA 18:35 | MDW 19:44 | 35% | 12% | 6.2% | no record |
| AA 2284 American | DCA 13:39 | ORD 14:48 | 36% | 18% | 2.5% | no record |
| MQ 4253 Envoy | BWI 14:08 | ORD 15:18 | 36% | 11% | 3.2% | no record |
| WN 724 Southwest | BWI 19:20 | MDW 20:33 | 38% | 8% | 5.3% | no record |
| AA 1637 American Flight history → | DCA 16:10 | ORD 17:32 | 39% | 23% | 2.7% | 74%worse than usual |
| YX 4758 Republic | BWI 18:13 | ORD 19:33 | 40% | 19% | 4.0% | no record |
| UA 1325 United Flight history → | DCA 15:30 | ORD 16:52 | 43% | 20% | 2.4% | 66% |
| AA 1221 American | DCA 15:05 | ORD 16:19 | 45% | 23% | 4.0% | no record |
| UA 1703 United | IAD 15:44 | ORD 16:46 | 45% | 18% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 488 American | DCA 20:25 | ORD 21:36 | 49% | 28% | 2.2% | no record |
| UA 2497 United Flight history → | IAD 17:42 | ORD 18:50 | 51% | 20% | 1.1% | 48% |
| UA 654 United Flight history → | DCA 17:05 | ORD 18:30 | 51% | 25% | 1.8% | 50% |
| UA 1193 United Flight history → | DCA 19:10 | ORD 20:32 | 52% | 23% | 1.8% | 58% |
| UA 2218 United Flight history → | DCA 20:06 | ORD 21:15 | 53% | 25% | 1.7% | 63%worse than usual |
| AA 1189 American Flight history → | DCA 16:59 | ORD 18:08 | 54% | 26% | 3.2% | 61%worse than usual |
| UA 2148 United Flight history → | DCA 18:10 | ORD 19:32 | 55% | 27% | 1.9% | 51% |
| UA 590 United Flight history → | BWI 17:32 | ORD 18:55 | 57% | 23% | 1.1% | 57%worse than usual |
| UA 1223 United | BWI 19:07 | ORD 20:15 | 57% | 24% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 3148 American | DCA 18:18 | ORD 19:28 | 58% | 31% | 3.3% | no record |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON