tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1593 Southwest ALB 05:29 DEN 07:33 7% 1% 0.7% no record
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 14% 4% 0.6% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:18 → IAD 07:28UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 45m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 7h 47m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → ALB 09:56 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 11m Dulles IAD 12:48 → DEN 14:42UA 1587 6h 46m 91% 76%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:03 → PHL 07:29AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 36m Philadelphia PHL 09:05 → DEN 11:04AA 2282 7h 01m 96% 74%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 05:59 → BWI 07:25WN 167 3h 39m Baltimore BWI 11:04 → DEN 12:49WN 994 8h 50m 100% 73%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:23DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 19m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 11m 93% 73%
UnitedDetails → ALB 19:29 → IAD 21:02UA 4235 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 48m Dulles IAD 22:50 → DEN 00:41 +1UA 495 7h 12m 91% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 17:09 → ORD 18:41UA 538 1h 05m Chicago ORD 19:46 → DEN 21:23UA 329 6h 14m 68% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON