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Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 74% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961 6h 12m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:03 → PHL 07:29AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 17m Philadelphia PHL 10:46 → DFW 13:38AA 3326 8h 35m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:18 → IAD 07:28UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:30 → DFW 10:53UA 2471 5h 35m 89% 78%
UnitedDetails → ALB 09:56 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 04m Dulles IAD 12:41 → DFW 15:05UA 1564 6h 09m 90% 73%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:23DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Detroit DTW 12:45 → DFW 14:32DL 1041 5h 58m 93% 72%
UnitedDetails → ALB 08:00 → DEN 10:11UA 2750 3h 34m Denver DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578 9h 51m 98% 71%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 54m Detroit DTW 08:35 → DFW 10:24DL 2746 5h 19m 87% 71%
DeltaDetails → ALB 05:43 → LGA 06:43DL 5454 · flown by Endeavor 2h 47m New York LGA 09:30 → DFW 12:09DL 856 7h 26m 95% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:11 → DTW 15:07DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 54m Detroit DTW 16:01 → DFW 18:00DL 1441 5h 49m 74% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON