tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: United via Dulles, leaving 06:18, is the safest bet: 72% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 87 JetBlue Flight history → ALB 06:59 FLL 10:12 18% 5% 1.1% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ALB 05:59 → BWI 07:25WN 167 53m Baltimore BWI 08:18 → FLL 11:07WN 2097 5h 08m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 20m 98% 82%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 09:19 → BWI 10:45WN 168 1h 53m Baltimore BWI 12:38 → FLL 15:18WN 1002 5h 59m 99% 74%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:18 → IAD 07:28UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 52m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 4h 49m 86% 72%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:23DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 07m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 6h 00m 91% 68%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 6h 13m 96% 66%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 12m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 03m 99% 64%
AmericanDetails → ALB 16:17 → CLT 18:30AA 440 3h 57m Charlotte CLT 22:27 → FLL 00:30 +1AA 321 8h 13m 91% 59%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:11 → DTW 15:07DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 49m Detroit DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037 5h 49m 68% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON