Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 20:56	CID 22:03	18%	8%	1.0%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	1h 38m Minneapolis	MSP 10:38 → CID 11:49DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	5h 24m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	3h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 22:14 → CID 23:25DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	7h 47m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	3h 24m Minneapolis	MSP 14:54 → CID 16:05DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	7h 10m	99%	80%
United Details →	ATL 08:39 → DEN 09:57UA 340	3h 58m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 22m	99%	72%
American Details →	ATL 18:16 → CLT 19:34AA 5067 · flown by PSA	3h 57m Charlotte	CLT 23:31 → CID 00:46 +1AA 1887	7h 30m	98%	69%
American Details →	ATL 13:43 → DFW 15:05AA 1276	2h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:33 → CID 19:39AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	6h 56m	91%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON