tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3415 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → BOI 10:07 BUR 11:30 13% 4% 0.5% 88%
WN 1515 Southwest BOI 13:54 BUR 15:12 17% 4% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 1 h behind Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173 3h 34m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BOI 10:47 → SLC 12:11DL 1744 2h 54m Salt Lake City SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 6h 25m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOI 06:30 → SFO 07:30UA 4678 · flown by SkyWest 1h 03m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 4h 27m 96% 85%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 17:08 → PDX 17:10AS 229 2h 18m Portland PDX 19:28 → BUR 21:36AS 1386 5h 28m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → BOI 06:30 → DEN 08:29UA 1782 3h 21m Denver DEN 11:50 → BUR 13:25UA 2154 7h 55m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → BOI 14:55 → SFO 16:23UA 4661 · flown by SkyWest 2h 12m San Francisco SFO 18:35 → BUR 20:04UA 2001 6h 09m 97% 75%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 10:23 → SEA 10:55AS 2347 · flown by Horizon 2h 56m Seattle SEA 13:51 → BUR 16:19AS 529 6h 56m 99% 68%
UnitedDetails → BOI 14:41 → DEN 16:40UA 2173 3h 03m Denver DEN 19:43 → BUR 21:17UA 2411 7h 36m 95% 61%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → BOI 17:08 → PDX 17:10AS 229 47m Portland PDX 17:57 → BUR 20:18AS 559 4h 10m 72% 60%
UnitedDetails → BOI 08:24 → SFO 09:36UA 4639 · flown by SkyWest 47m San Francisco SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115 4h 25m 72% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON