tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3404 SkyWest BUR 17:20 BOI 20:27 15% 6% 0.7% no record
WN 1231 Southwest BUR 18:04 BOI 21:06 24% 6% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562 1h 19m Portland PDX 10:46 → BOI 13:06AS 329 4h 57m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 11:05 → BOI 12:20DL 2095 4h 20m 95% 82%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 07:08 → SEA 09:47AS 491 3h 07m Seattle SEA 12:54 → BOI 15:21AS 467 7h 13m 97% 71%
UnitedDetails → BUR 11:39 → SFO 13:04UA 2386 3h 33m San Francisco SFO 16:37 → BOI 19:25UA 5720 · flown by SkyWest 6h 46m 99% 69%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 3h 12m Denver DEN 19:28 → BOI 21:29UA 2014 7h 41m 97% 65%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 16:53 → SEA 19:25AS 537 2h 02m Seattle SEA 21:27 → BOI 23:54AS 445 6h 01m 89% 59%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BUR 18:42 → SFO 20:10UA 1508 49m San Francisco SFO 20:59 → BOI 23:55UA 6027 · flown by SkyWest 4h 13m 67% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON