Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 17:35, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 17:35	MSP 19:35	24%	10%	1.1%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	6h 08m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 15m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:45 → ATL 09:14DL 789	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	7h 05m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	CHS 18:50 → ATL 20:11DL 3179	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	6h 49m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:29 → ATL 10:53DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 37m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	CHS 07:23 → DTW 09:27DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor	2h 53m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697	6h 47m	95%	76%
Delta Details →	CHS 16:05 → ATL 17:26DL 1381	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280	6h 33m	96%	72%
Delta Details →	CHS 11:18 → ATL 12:27DL 3091	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:38 → MSP 17:16DL 2981	6h 58m	98%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON