Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	12%	4%	2.1%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 06:49 → MSP 07:48DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 44m Minneapolis	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	6h 15m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	CID 16:14 → MSP 17:28DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	2h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 19:49 → ATL 23:44DL 1032	6h 30m	95%	73%
Delta Details →	CID 12:30 → MSP 13:39DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	2h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 16:38 → ATL 20:16DL 2021	6h 46m	98%	71%
American Details →	CID 06:20 → DFW 08:28AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:00 → ATL 14:18AA 3104	6h 58m	95%	69%
United Details →	CID 09:36 → DEN 10:44UA 1500	2h 42m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	7h 54m	94%	65%
American Details →	CID 10:41 → DFW 12:45AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:03 → ATL 19:26AA 2403	7h 45m	100%	63%
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:31UA 514	1h 20m Denver	DEN 17:51 → ATL 23:00UA 248	6h 44m	82%	53%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	CID 10:41 → DFW 12:45AA 4297 · flown by Envoy	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:33 → ATL 16:52AA 2398	5h 11m	25%	17%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON