tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: WN 176 at 11:18 is the safest bet, 23% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 39%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 176 Southwest DEN 11:18 ALB 16:49 23% 5% 0.6% no record
UA 1662 United Flight history → DEN 17:42 ALB 23:30 39% 16% 0.6% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137 8h 42m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096 1h 29m Detroit DTW 07:17 → ALB 08:53DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 5h 54m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:00 → IAD 13:26UA 1101 3h 51m Dulles IAD 17:17 → ALB 18:44UA 4926 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 44m 100% 82%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:13 → IAD 11:41UA 1279 1h 18m Dulles IAD 12:59 → ALB 14:25UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir 6h 12m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745 3h 49m Detroit DTW 14:43 → ALB 16:17DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 8h 12m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → ALB 17:38DL 1241 8h 23m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 2h 36m Charlotte CLT 14:40 → ALB 16:39AA 440 7h 58m 98% 77%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347 2h 52m Dulles IAD 22:14 → ALB 23:41UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 48m 94% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → DEN 15:40 → IAD 21:11UA 421 1h 03m Dulles IAD 22:14 → ALB 23:41UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir 6h 01m 73% 60%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON