Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 08:45, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1145 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:45	MYR 10:39	15%	4%	1.9%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 07:27 → ATL 09:25DL 1653	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MYR 13:37DL 3182	6h 10m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 08:48 → MYR 10:07DL 3047	4h 50m	96%	74%
American Details →	DTW 06:00 → PHL 07:55AA 5414 · flown by PSA	55m Philadelphia	PHL 08:50 → MYR 10:39AA 6107 · flown by Piedmont	4h 39m	100%	74%
American Details →	DTW 11:24 → PHL 13:16AA 5480 · flown by PSA	3h 56m Philadelphia	PHL 17:12 → MYR 19:08AA 6105 · flown by Piedmont	7h 44m	100%	73%
Delta Details →	DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 22:12 → MYR 23:31DL 3074	5h 22m	92%	71%
American Details →	DTW 13:52 → CLT 15:48AA 1683	2h 44m Charlotte	CLT 18:32 → MYR 19:45AA 1417	5h 53m	100%	69%
American Details →	DTW 09:58 → CLT 11:53AA 2582	2h 24m Charlotte	CLT 14:17 → MYR 15:18AA 2495	5h 20m	97%	66%
Delta Details →	DTW 13:02 → ATL 15:08DL 2188	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → MYR 18:03DL 1093	5h 01m	92%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DTW 19:19 → ATL 21:20DL 2294	52m Atlanta	ATL 22:12 → MYR 23:31DL 3074	4h 12m	64%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON