Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 64% chance of reaching Albany on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 73% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 88 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:54	ALB 23:09	38%	19%	2.2%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 59m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 44m Detroit	DTW 10:40 → ALB 12:20DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	6h 20m	99%	84%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	48m Charlotte	CLT 08:52 → ALB 11:02AA 710	5h 05m	92%	83%
United Details →	FLL 12:13 → IAD 14:49UA 1421	2h 28m Dulles	IAD 17:17 → ALB 18:44UA 4926 · flown by CommuteAir	6h 31m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → ALB 17:38DL 1241	7h 42m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	8h 27m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294	1h 59m Detroit	DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660	6h 41m	93%	65%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133	48m New York	LGA 10:45 → ALB 11:49DL 5268 · flown by Endeavor	4h 49m	81%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	5h 31m	73%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON