Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 31–35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


MX 2866 Breeze	FLL 19:13	CHS 21:07	31%	9%	4.7%	no record
B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 16:46	CHS 18:40	35%	14%	2.4%	75%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 11:51 → CHS 13:03DL 2179	6h 30m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	6h 37m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 08:23 → ATL 10:19DL 1326	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 13:49 → CHS 15:02DL 1381	6h 39m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → CHS 23:54DL 2850	7h 08m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 15:17 → CHS 16:28DL 2174	6h 32m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 19:03 → CHS 20:17DL 2493	6h 49m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 20:51 → CHS 22:07DL 1663	6h 35m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 16:26 → CHS 17:39DL 3179	6h 35m	99%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 19:45 → ATL 21:54DL 1295	46m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → CHS 23:54DL 2850	4h 09m	65%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON