Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: B6 814 at 06:55 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 33%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 814 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 06:55	HPN 09:57	9%	4%	1.1%	80%
B6 914 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 19:01	HPN 22:09	33%	13%	3.8%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 33m Detroit	DTW 10:29 → HPN 12:17DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	6h 17m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 10:26 → HPN 12:46DL 2973	7h 23m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:33DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	8h 00m	99%	81%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	3h 41m Charlotte	CLT 11:45 → HPN 13:46AA 5180 · flown by PSA	7h 49m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:49 → HPN 18:12DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 08m	98%	75%
JetBlue Details →	FLL 11:01 → SJU 13:49B6 1553	3h 55m San Juan	SJU 17:44 → HPN 21:41B6 2602	10h 40m	99%	71%
American Details →	FLL 11:23 → DCA 14:12AA 1893	2h 48m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	7h 05m	100%	58%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON