tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2679 Southwest FLL 07:24 MCI 09:43 7% 2% 0.7% no record
G4 483 Allegiant FLL 05:59 MCI 08:17 15% 4% 1.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 19m Atlanta ATL 08:30 → MCI 09:38DL 2471 5h 15m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 12:11 → MCI 13:20DL 2747 7h 47m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 29m Detroit DTW 12:25 → MCI 13:24DL 2741 8h 24m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 08:23 → ATL 10:19DL 1326 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → MCI 15:10DL 1443 7h 47m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:04AA 1474 3h 39m Charlotte CLT 11:43 → MCI 13:19AA 1616 8h 22m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:51 → PHL 09:50AA 2089 3h 24m Philadelphia PHL 13:14 → MCI 15:29AA 1268 9h 38m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → FLL 11:48 → DFW 14:08AA 1429 3h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:09 → MCI 18:54AA 4165 · flown by Envoy 8h 06m 96% 77%
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311 3h 22m Denver DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586 9h 22m 99% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 14:08 → DFW 16:12AA 1390 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:09 → MCI 18:54AA 4165 · flown by Envoy 5h 46m 72% 57%
DeltaDetails → FLL 19:45 → ATL 21:54DL 1295 54m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → MCI 23:58DL 2911 5h 13m 71% 54%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:29 → LGA 14:24DL 2465 1h 06m New York LGA 15:30 → MCI 17:59DL 2068 7h 30m 73% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON