Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:33, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Syracuse on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 71% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1738 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 14:48	SYR 18:03	31%	12%	2.1%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	2h 30m Detroit	DTW 11:26 → SYR 12:53DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	6h 53m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375	6h 02m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 08:23 → ATL 10:19DL 1326	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	6h 25m	98%	84%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:04AA 1474	1h 11m Charlotte	CLT 09:15 → SYR 11:17AA 2730	5h 20m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 03m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	8h 16m	99%	76%
American Details →	FLL 07:44 → CLT 09:53AA 2087	3h 52m Charlotte	CLT 13:45 → SYR 15:38AA 1950	7h 54m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	2h 47m Minneapolis	MSP 20:26 → SYR 23:42DL 2546	8h 55m	97%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	5h 20m	71%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON