Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, WN 1788 at 08:04, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1788 Southwest	HOU 08:04	OMA 10:22	6%	1%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 45m	98%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 13:30 → DAL 14:40WN 30	3h 54m Dallas	DAL 18:34 → OMA 20:28WN 2706	6h 58m	99%	73%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:09 → OMA 16:37DL 2364	5h 57m	94%	73%
American Details →	HOU 09:52 → DFW 11:07AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:45 → OMA 15:45AA 2269	5h 53m	100%	70%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	1h 22m Atlanta	ATL 21:54 → OMA 23:23DL 2010	6h 06m	88%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON