Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AS 69 Alaska Flight history →	KTN 20:27	JNU 21:25	14%	3%	6.6%	86%
AS 7001 Alaska	KTN 09:51	JNU 10:59	14%	4%	5.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Juneau on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	KTN 08:44 → SEA 11:38AS 60	1h 08m Seattle	SEA 12:46 → JNU 14:26AS 209	5h 42m	86%	58%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	KTN 17:39 → SIT 18:32AS 67	58m Sitka	SIT 19:30 → JNU 20:12AS 67	2h 33m	70%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON