Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 379 at 10:17, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	LGA 10:17	RSW 13:30	22%	6%	2.3%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 35m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	7h 57m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	7h 44m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → MSP 07:53DL 2510	1h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	7h 27m	94%	75%
Delta Details →	LGA 07:34 → MSP 09:31DL 2473	3h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 12:47 → RSW 17:17DL 2219	9h 43m	98%	74%
United Details →	LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389	3h 19m Chicago	ORD 11:08 → RSW 15:12UA 2137	9h 02m	100%	72%
American Details →	LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084	3h 13m Charlotte	CLT 11:11 → RSW 13:15AA 1781	7h 15m	99%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	LGA 18:00 → ATL 21:20DL 964	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	6h 23m	74%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON