tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, WN 2679 at 10:14, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2679 Southwest MCI 10:14 MKE 11:54 9% 4% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 2h 11m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 4h 54m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 6h 14m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 50m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:33 → MKE 15:39DL 2152 7h 39m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → MCI 16:22 → ATL 19:36DL 1443 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 7h 34m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → MCI 14:19 → ATL 17:33DL 2747 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 20:51 → MKE 21:57DL 2388 7h 38m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → MCI 10:22 → ATL 13:36DL 2471 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206 7h 18m 100% 75%
AmericanDetails → MCI 06:31 → CLT 10:00AA 1297 1h 07m Charlotte CLT 11:07 → MKE 12:13AA 885 5h 42m 93% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MCI 06:55 → PHX 07:49AA 2645 50m Phoenix PHX 08:39 → MKE 14:12AA 1728 7h 17m 71% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON