Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2290 Delta Flight history →	MEM 07:15	SLC 09:33	6%	3%	0.9%	90%
OO 4181 SkyWest	MEM 22:28	SLC 00:51	13%	7%	1.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MEM 05:58 → ATL 08:27DL 1666	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 12m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	MEM 07:20 → ATL 09:43DL 1624	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 30m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:00 → DTW 08:52DL 2370	3h 28m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	9h 11m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MEM 09:27 → ATL 11:46DL 1149	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	7h 24m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:45 → AUS 08:37DL 4088 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Austin	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	8h 24m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MEM 12:09 → MSP 14:22DL 3989 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 58m	98%	80%
American Details →	MEM 05:00 → CLT 07:46AA 978	1h 39m Charlotte	CLT 09:25 → SLC 11:50AA 1895	7h 50m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:00 → BOS 10:01DL 5604 · flown by Republic	1h 14m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:20DL 464	9h 20m	95%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MEM 09:46 → ORD 11:57UA 5672 · flown by SkyWest	48m Chicago	ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955	6h 36m	58%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON