tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
MQ 4082 Envoy MIA 22:27 SAV 00:05 16% 6% 1.1% no record
MQ 4166 Envoy MIA 17:54 SAV 19:32 24% 7% 2.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 10:29 → SAV 11:39DL 3054 5h 39m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 12:57 → SAV 14:06DL 1067 6h 56m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MIA 09:06 → ATL 10:31DL 1261 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 14:24 → SAV 15:31DL 3014 6h 25m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:06 → CLT 08:14AA 3004 3h 20m Charlotte CLT 11:34 → SAV 12:52AA 4178 · flown by Envoy 6h 46m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:49 → ATL 18:54DL 1323 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 7h 04m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 7h 08m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 16:23 → SAV 17:33DL 3112 6h 53m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:12DL 1510 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 6h 54m 98% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:49 → ATL 18:54DL 1323 1h 12m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 4h 28m 75% 61%
DeltaDetails → MIA 15:29 → LGA 18:45DL 1538 52m New York LGA 19:37 → SAV 21:49DL 5398 · flown by Endeavor 6h 20m 52% 25%
AmericanDetails → MIA 16:25 → DCA 19:13AA 2716 48m Washington DCA 20:01 → SAV 21:57AA 5384 · flown by PSA 5h 32m 2% 1%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON