Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, WN 3696 at 13:25, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3696 Southwest	MKE 13:25	MCI 15:03	13%	6%	2.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 12:11 → MCI 13:20DL 2747	6h 30m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	MKE 07:29 → SLC 09:50DL 2716	1h 27m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:17 → MCI 14:46DL 2882	7h 17m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → MCI 11:11DL 2908	5h 26m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → MCI 13:24DL 2741	6h 13m	95%	79%
American Details →	MKE 07:01 → CLT 10:07AA 2866	1h 36m Charlotte	CLT 11:43 → MCI 13:19AA 1616	6h 18m	91%	75%
Delta Details →	MKE 14:59 → ATL 18:06DL 1246	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 20:35 → MCI 21:52DL 3023	6h 53m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	MKE 16:43 → ATL 19:59DL 2152	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 22:48 → MCI 23:58DL 2911	7h 15m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:11 → ATL 13:14DL 2999	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → MCI 16:30DL 1660	6h 19m	97%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MKE 06:55 → ORD 07:53UA 5896 · flown by SkyWest	50m Chicago	ORD 08:43 → MCI 10:18UA 1764	3h 23m	60%	44%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:00 → BOS 15:23DL 5614 · flown by Republic	47m Boston	BOS 16:10 → MCI 18:48DL 314	6h 48m	59%	41%
United Details →	MKE 14:22 → ORD 15:20UA 5640 · flown by SkyWest	59m Chicago	ORD 16:19 → MCI 18:00UA 664	3h 38m	59%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON