Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 12:42, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:42	CHS 16:25	18%	4%	1.2%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 11:51 → CHS 13:03DL 2179	6h 43m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 13:49 → CHS 15:02DL 1381	7h 02m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 15:47 → ATL 19:19DL 1036	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → CHS 23:54DL 2850	7h 07m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:17 → CHS 16:28DL 2174	7h 02m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → BOS 10:45DL 2649	1h 21m Boston	BOS 12:06 → CHS 14:40DL 2785	6h 40m	95%	77%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	3h 26m Charlotte	CLT 13:26 → CHS 14:41AA 5118 · flown by PSA	7h 22m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 19:03 → CHS 20:17DL 2493	6h 32m	97%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MSP 18:09 → ATL 21:46DL 1026	54m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → CHS 23:54DL 2850	4h 45m	68%	54%
American Details →	MSP 18:17 → ORD 19:48AA 4746 · flown by Republic	57m Chicago	ORD 20:45 → CHS 00:14 +1AA 3127	4h 57m	59%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON