Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: DL 2437 at 12:19 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2437 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:19	GEG 13:21	15%	3%	0.7%	89%
DL 2418 Delta Flight history →	MSP 21:59	GEG 23:06	25%	5%	0.7%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110	4h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 29m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	55m Atlanta	ATL 09:49 → GEG 11:42DL 814	8h 22m	93%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	1h 31m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 02m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 14:50 → SEA 16:24DL 877	3h 33m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	8h 23m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:10 → SEA 13:00DL 889	2h 40m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	7h 45m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	3h 36m Seattle	SEA 14:35 → GEG 15:47DL 4145 · flown by SkyWest	8h 42m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	2h 37m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:44 → GEG 23:31DL 1466	7h 18m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 47m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:06 → GEG 16:53DL 1503	6h 24m	95%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON