tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 12 · typical odds for a Monday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Mon, Oct 12: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 80% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → MYR 10:46 → ATL 12:17DL 3047 1h 38m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 12m 97% 71%
DeltaDetails → MYR 18:48 → ATL 20:12DL 1093 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 22:04 → DEN 23:12DL 956 6h 24m 92% 65%
AmericanDetails → MYR 09:17 → CLT 10:24AA 2431 1h 30m Charlotte CLT 11:54 → DEN 13:42AA 1662 6h 25m 84% 64%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 50m Detroit DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431 7h 53m 98% 62%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 17:55 → DEN 19:07DL 519 7h 16m 95% 56%
AmericanDetails → MYR 15:18 → PHL 17:25AA 5896 · flown by Piedmont 2h 32m Philadelphia PHL 19:57 → DEN 22:07AA 2878 8h 49m 82% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 12 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON